銀川 橫河 F3NC02-0N 數(shù)量有限.售完為止!
銀川 橫河 F3NC02-0N 數(shù)量有限.售完為止!
銀川 橫河 F3NC02-0N 數(shù)量有限.售完為止!
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高增長不再 機(jī)床行業(yè)換擋穩(wěn)步前進(jìn)
巴菲特說過,只要當(dāng)潮水退去,才知道誰在裸游。
記者認(rèn)為,在產(chǎn)業(yè)的低潮期,不是誕生巨人,就是有人退出市場。而現(xiàn)在機(jī)床工具行業(yè)從競爭內(nèi)容到競爭形式,都已然發(fā)生了巨大的變化。
換擋向前
如果要用這樣一個詞來概括機(jī)床工具行業(yè)同行們的心態(tài)。記者私自認(rèn)為迷茫一次或許比較合適,畢竟在多種會議場合,各機(jī)床制造商、經(jīng)銷商都不止一次表示出市場行情不容樂觀的心態(tài)。
市場趨于低迷,這是每個人都能意識到的問題,但未來市場還能有多低迷,沒人知道,但可以肯定的是傳統(tǒng)數(shù)控機(jī)床產(chǎn)品的“黃金時代”已經(jīng)結(jié)束。
但與此同時,每一次技術(shù)的更新?lián)Q代,也讓行業(yè)競爭者們喜上眉梢,因?yàn)榧夹g(shù)變革意味著舊產(chǎn)品的淘汰出局,而新的需求也是引領(lǐng)行業(yè)發(fā)展的動力所在。
在4月份的CIMES2014(第十二屆中國國際機(jī)床展)新聞發(fā)布會上,中國機(jī)械工業(yè)聯(lián)合會執(zhí)行副會長楊學(xué)桐說,2013年機(jī)械工業(yè)主營業(yè)務(wù)收入約為20.4萬億元,而機(jī)床工具行業(yè)只有4500億元左右,占機(jī)械工業(yè)主營業(yè)務(wù)收入的2.2%左右,嚴(yán)格來講這個比例多少年來沒有太大變化。
所以從這個角度來講我國機(jī)床行業(yè)總體規(guī)模上沒有大的變化,即我們對機(jī)械工業(yè)的貢獻(xiàn)率沒有變化。
“但單從總量來反映機(jī)床工具行業(yè)的過去和現(xiàn)狀是無法準(zhǔn)確衡量這個行業(yè)的進(jìn)步和不足的,所以我想這么多年呼之欲出的機(jī)床工具行業(yè)的癥結(jié)或說切入點(diǎn)應(yīng)該從其他角度再分析一下,比如我國數(shù)控機(jī)床產(chǎn)量增長由高速變?yōu)榈退僬f明什么?我國機(jī)床產(chǎn)業(yè)的主要進(jìn)步是什么?我國機(jī)床工具行業(yè)的市場發(fā)展更需關(guān)注哪些方面?”
楊學(xué)桐指出2005年、2008年和2013年三個年份數(shù)控機(jī)床產(chǎn)量的數(shù)據(jù)分別是5.85萬臺、13.97萬臺和20萬臺。
不難看出,從2005年到2008年我國機(jī)床產(chǎn)量的增速非常大,而2008年到2013年增速就明顯回落了不少,特別是近幾年,機(jī)床產(chǎn)量的增長明顯由高速變?yōu)榈退佟?br />
可是繼續(xù)往深里看,從結(jié)構(gòu)上講:2005年經(jīng)濟(jì)型占85%,2013年經(jīng)濟(jì)型只占20%,這種變化說明我們行業(yè)的發(fā)展已經(jīng)上了一大臺階。如果說10年前行業(yè)的目標(biāo)是中檔增長,而現(xiàn)在行業(yè)額的目標(biāo)很明確,就是要轉(zhuǎn)型升級,朝高檔前進(jìn)。
楊學(xué)桐說,目前我國改革目前進(jìn)入深水區(qū),艱難而重要。數(shù)控機(jī)床下一個臺階是進(jìn)入高檔區(qū),同樣艱難而重要。
他特別之處。在此過程中,市場的變化和行業(yè)企業(yè)能力增長的速度暫時不同步是必然的,因?yàn)榍靶┠昴芰Φ脑鲩L主要靠技改靠設(shè)備更新,現(xiàn)在主要靠創(chuàng)新靠人才集聚,這是我國機(jī)床工業(yè)進(jìn)步過程中的一個較為長期的巨大挑戰(zhàn)和機(jī)遇。
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